In the new issue of Orion, Kunstler predicts the form cities will take in a post-carbon world.
Podcast of Kunstler interviewed by Orion editor.
Monday, June 27, 2011
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The more one learns the more one learns there is more to learn.
2 comments:
It's dangerous to predict the future, as one is almost always wrong.
The likelihood of being wrong increases the further in the future one tries to see.
The article is more in the "what-if" mode. Kunstler not only sees oil scarcity as inevitable, but that no other energy source, particularly renewable ones, can really replace oil in energy yield, efficiency of extraction, and ease of transport and storage. So he makes an educated guess on how cities will fare if oil is unavailable. For example, he thinks Los Angeles would become a loose network of towns.
I'm reading City of Quartz by Mike Davis, and much of it deals with L.A.'s growth into the desert. These far-flung suburbs will become impractical places to live without inputs of petroleum.
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